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World bank cuts economic forecasts? Japan’s  survey showed less pessimism at big Japanese manufacturing firms in the three months to June. Meanwhile German business sentiment rose to a seven-month high in June although analysts said plenty of risks remained given that expectations fueled the rise in sentiment.

Despite initial signs of a weakening in the pace of economic decline, policymakers must remain alert, European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said. “While there are first signs that the pace of economic weakening is decelerating, we must remain alert. We are in uncharted waters, and there are still risks of a sudden emergence of unexpected financial turbulence,” he said.

Trichet’s caution chimed with that of Angel Gurria, the head of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. “We see a very difficult 2009, with negative growth in the OECD area. Unemployment problems are going to continue to linger,” he told Reuters television in an interview on the sidelines of a conference in Paris.

Adding to those wary comments, the World Bank said prospects for the global economy remain “unusually uncertain” as it cut 2009 growth forecasts for most economies.

Governments around the world have borrowed hundreds of billions of dollars to fight the worst economic crisis in decades, providing incentives for businesses and consumers to spend and embarking on big infrastructure programs to create jobs and stimulate activity.

They should stick to spending programs to reignite growth because their economies are still weak in spite of signs that the worst of the crisis may be past, World Bank Chief Economist Justin Lin said in an interview with Reuters. Lin also said he was concerned about rising borrowing costs and weak external financing conditions for the emerging economies of Europe and Central Asia.

Like the ECB, the U.S. Federal Reserve has cut interest rates to record low levels and used unorthodox means to pump more money into the system.

The Fed’s interest rate setting committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday and economists polled by Reuters see no chance that the Fed will raise its benchmark short-term interest rate from the current level near zero. The Fed is also seen unlikely to ramp up its purchases of U.S. government and mortgage-linked debt as investor focus shifts to inflation on evidence that the economy is stabilizing.

The key challenge facing India’s new ruling coalition is to maintain a strong growth rate, which has suffered in the face of the global financial crisis. “We have to observe that uncertainty in the world is still very high and we cannot ignore the fact that we are more integrated to the world than we used to be,” Rakesh Mohan told reporters.

The Central Bank expects the economy to expand about 6 percent in the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2010, lower from the previous year’s estimate of 6.5-6.7 percent. In the previous three fiscal years, Asia’s third largest economy grew at 9 percent or more. Mohan said while India’s economy would continue to do well, expectations have to be realistic as the country cannot decouple with the rest of the world.

The government and the central bank have taken aggressive steps to revive the economy after the collapse of Lehman Brothers last year hurt sentiment across the world and depressed demand.

The American economy has feced some challenging situations but the americans have grown more optimistic about the economy and the direction of the country since President Barack Obama took office in January.Two-thirds of respondents said they approved of Obama’s overall job performance.

The number of people who said they thought the United States was headed in the right direction jumped from 15 percent during the final days of Republican President George W. Bush’s administration in mid-January, before the inauguration, to 39 percent till date.The number of respondents who said the country was headed in the wrong direction dropped to 53 percent from 79 percent.

Thirty-four percent said the economy, already contracting, was getting worse, down from 54 percent just before Obama took office.According to the poll, 20 percent of Americans now think the economy is getting better, compared with 7 percent in mid-January.

Bill Gates, the prestigious founder of Microsoft,  is the richest man again. He overtook investor Warren Buffett, as the global financial meltdown wiped out $2 trillion from the net worth of the world’s billionaires.The number of billionaires in the world fell by nearly a third to 793 in the past year, with large numbers dropping off the list in Russia, India and Turkey.

Gates regained his title as the richest man in the world, with $40 billion after slipping to third last year when he was worth $58 billion. Buffett, last year’s richest man, fell to second place with $37 billion, down from $62 billion. Mexican telecommunications tycoon Carlos Slim took third place with $35 billion, down from $60 billion.

Collectively, the top three billionaires lost $68 billion in the year to Feb. 13, when Forbes took a snapshot of wealth around the world to compile its annual list of billionaires.The net worth of the world’s billionaires fell from $4.4 trillion to $2.4 trillion, while the number of billionaires was down to 793 from 1,125.

Indian businessman Anil Ambani, the biggest gainer on last year’s list, was the biggest loser this time, with $32 billion wiped out over the last 12 months. Ranked sixth last year, he fell to 34 with an estimated wealth of $10.1 billion.

The only person in the top 20 who did not lose money was New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, whose net worth was revised up to $16 billion from $11.5 billion because of a revaluation of his media company.

President Obama won’t submit a formal 2010 budget request to Congress until next month. But the head-knocking on the Hill over fiscal priorities begins in earnest this week. A main question will be whether Obama’s proposals can reduce the deficit as much as the administration estimates, if so $2 trillion over 10 years.

Banking on Economic Recovery:

It is assumed that the economy will start its recovery in 2010, with 3.2% growth in gross domestic product. GDP will grow 4.0% in 2011 and 4.6% in 2012.

Raising Taxes on High Income Filers:

It is assumed that to reduce the deficit by $637 billion over 10 years by letting the Bush tax cuts expire in 2011 for singles making more than $200,000 and couples making more than $250,000.

Curbing Corporate tax Breaks:

It is assumed to raise $354 billion by changing a variety of corporate tax provisions, including repealing some tax benefits for oil and gas companies.

Winding War in Iraq by 2010:

Obama is planning to pull a large number of combat troops out of Iraq by the end of August 2010.The White House estimates the troop withdrawal, even as operations in Afghanistan continue, will preserve $1.5 trillion over 10 years that would otherwise be spent.